The defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs will open their 2023 NFL preseason schedule when they take on the New Orleans Saints on Sunday. The Chiefs, who beat the Eagles 38-35 to win Super Bowl LVII, aren’t expected to play their starters more than a quarter. The Saints, fresh off a 7-10 season and third-place finish in the NFC South, may play their starters a bit longer. New Orleans is expected to give former Raiders quarterback Derek Carr a look as it tries to solidify its offense.

Kickoff from the Superdome is set for 1 p.m. ET. New Orleans is a two-point favorite in the latest Chiefs vs. Saints odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 37.5. Before making any Saints vs. Chiefs picks or bets, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from proven SportsLine expert Larry Hartstein. 

A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. Hartstein tied for 52nd place (out of 1,598 entries) in the 2022 Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest, going 53-34-3 ATS. Those selections formed the basis of his SportsLine NFL best bets article, which finished 36-25-1. 

In addition, Hartstein has gone 44-29 on his last 73 against-the-spread or money-line NFL picks involving the Saints, returning $1,134. Anybody who has been following him is way up.

Now, Hartstein has set his sights on Chiefs vs. Saints and just locked in his NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Now, here are several NFL betting lines and trends for Saints vs. Chiefs:

  • Chiefs vs. Saints spread: New Orleans -2
  • Chiefs vs. Saints over-under: 37.5 points
  • Chiefs vs. Saints money line: New Orleans -125, Kansas City +105
  • KC: The Over is 11-3 in the Chiefs’ last 14 road games
  • NO: The Under is 4-1 in the Saints’ last five home games
  • Chiefs vs. Saints picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Saints can cover

After being released by Las Vegas, Derek Carr is looking for a second chance with New Orleans. The 10-year veteran spent his first nine seasons with the Raiders. Last year, he played in 15 games, completing 305 of 502 passes (60.8%) for 3,522 yards, 24 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. For his career, he has played in 142 games, completing 64.6% of his passes for 35,222 yards, 217 touchdowns and 99 interceptions.

Also expected to get a long look is third-round draft pick Kendre Miller. The former TCU standout is coming off a monster season for the Horned Frogs. In 2022, the running back carried 224 times for 1,399 yards (6.2 average) and 17 touchdowns. His longest run of the year was 75 yards. See which team to pick here.

Why the Chiefs can cover

Kansas City will get a brief look at starting quarterback Patrick Mahomes before turning its attention to Blaine Gabbert. The 12-year veteran signed a free agent contract over the offseason after spending the last three seasons at Tampa Bay. In limited action, he played in 11 games for the Buccaneers, including one last season. In the one appearance, he completed 6 of 8 passes for 29 yards and a touchdown.

Wide receiver Rashee Rice, the team’s second-round draft pick from SMU, is expected to get a chance to shine. He has been turning heads during camp, making several highlight-reel catches. He was dominant for the Mustangs in 2022, catching 96 passes for 1,355 yards (14.1 average) and 10 touchdowns, including a long of 75 yards. He played four seasons at SMU, catching 25 TD passes. See which team to pick here.

How to make Saints vs. Chiefs picks

Hartstein has analyzed this matchup and while we can tell you he’s leaning Over the point total, he has discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He’s only sharing what it is, and which side to back, at SportsLine.

Who wins Chiefs vs. Saints, and which critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see Hartstein’s Saints vs. Chiefs picks, all from the red-hot expert who is 44-29 on New Orleans picks, and find out.

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